The contribution of immigration from Ukraine to economic growth in Poland

Abstract From 2014 onwards Poland witnessed an unprecedented inflow of immigrant workers from Ukraine. Coupled with strong labour demand, this surge in supply provided a major contribution to Poland’s economic growth. However, due problems capturing immigration Labour Force Survey data has remained hitherto largely unaccounted official data. This paper uses range alternative sources estimate the actual number immigrants, and survey on migrant characteristics, collected four Polish cities, effective Ukrainian immigrants terms productivity-adjusted hours worked. The authors find that arrival was increasing 2013–2018 by 0.8% per annum. Imputing additional growth accounting exercise they (previously unaccounted) amounted about 0.5 pp. annum, i.e., 13% GDP 2013–2018. same figure should be subtracted residual total factor productivity growth, suggesting recent been fact much more labour-intensive than previously interpreted.